Fiscal model
Coalition fiscal model
Every quantified figure each party put in front of voters at GE2024 — and the headline figures in the Programme for Government 2025 — turned into one line in a structured dataset. Toggle owners on and off below to model the combined annual cost, broken down by party, policy area and confidence. Stated figures are kept distinct from our unit-cost estimates so you can see exactly which numbers are theirs and which are ours.
Step 1 · Pick a coalition
Toggle parties on or off to model their combined claims
Filters
Step 2 · The annual arithmetic
Net annual cost vs the existing budget
Net new annual cost (spend − new revenue)
€92.97bn
= 88.2% of the 2025 gross voted budget (€105.40bn).
Recurring spend + transfers€84.75bn
Revenue cuts (tax reductions)€9.52bn
Revenue raises (new taxes)−€1.30bn
One-off / cumulative spend€37.90bn
Step 3 · Per-owner annual cost
How each selected party stacks up
Step 4 · By policy area
Where the money goes (or stays)
Housing
€55.74bn
Finance And Taxation
€7.20bn
Children And Youth
€6.73bn
Energy
€5.30bn
Transport
€4.96bn
Social Protection
€4.64bn
Disability
€1.80bn
Enterprise And Employment
€1.70bn
Health
€1.40bn
Justice And Policing
€1.22bn
Mental Health
€1.10bn
Higher Education
€520m
Climate And Environment
€500m
Migration
€70m
Step 5 · The underlying claims
Every claim feeding the totals above (85)
Click any claim to see its source, derivation, and (where present) the commitment it underwrites.
- State-led building of affordable homes€15.00bn/yrPBPHousingspend annualestimated-from-unit
- 300,000 new homes 2025–2029€7.80bn/yrSFHousingspend annualstated
- 60,000 new homes per year by 2030€6.00bn/yrFFHousingspend annualstated
- Build 300,000 homes by 2030€6.00bn/yrFGHousingspend annualstated
- Programme for Government — at least 303,000 new homes by 2030€6.00bn/yrPfGHousingspend annualstated
- 50,000 new homes per year€5.00bn/yrLABHousingspend annualstated
- 70,000 social homes over 5 years€4.20bn/yrSDHousingspend annualstated
- Abolish USC for incomes below €100,000€4.00bn/yrPBPFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- 15,000 social and affordable homes per year€3.00bn/yrAONHousingspend annualstated
- Deliver MetroLink, BusConnects and Luas projects€2.30bn/yrFGTransportspend annualstated
- €10bn public transport investment€2.00bn/yrGPTransportspend annualstated
- Free public childcare€2.00bn/yrPBPChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Mass retrofit + renewables€2.00bn/yrPBPEnergyspend annualestimated-from-unit
- Develop offshore wind capacity€1.50bn/yrGPEnergyspend annualstated
- Raise State pension to €350/week€1.10bn/yrFFSocial Protectiontransferstated
- Index income tax credits and bands to wages€1.10bn/yrFFFinance And Taxationrevenue cutestimated-from-unit
- +€1.1bn/yr for disability services€1.10bn/yrSDDisabilityspend annualstated
- Programme for Government — index tax credits and bands€1.10bn/yrPfGFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- State-fund electricity grid expansion€1.00bn/yrFFEnergyspend annualestimated-from-unit
- Abolish USC for workers on the average wage€1.00bn/yrSFFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- 50,000 affordable purchase homes€1.00bn/yrSDHousingspend annualstated
- €15/hr living wage€1.00bn/yrPBPEnterprise And Employmentspend annualstated
- 15,000 state-backed affordable and cost-rental homes€900m/yrGPHousingspend annualstated
- Raise mental health to 10% of health budget€900m/yrSDMental Healthspend annualstated
- 12 months paid parental leave per parent€800m/yrPBPChildren And Youthtransferstated
- Introduce a living wage€700m/yrLABEnterprise And Employmentspend annualstated
- Wealth tax on net assets > €1m−€700m/yrLABFinance And Taxationrevenue raisestated
- Abolish carer's means test + living wage€700m/yrPBPSocial Protectiontransferstated
- Childcare cap €100/week€700m/yrAONChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Programme for Government — increase disability funding€700m/yrPfGDisabilityspend annualstated
- Abolish the Carer's Allowance means test€600m/yrFGSocial Protectiontransferstated
- End the means test for the Carer's Allowance€600m/yrSFSocial Protectiontransferstated
- Public-sector childcare model€600m/yrSDChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Hospitality VAT 13.5% → 9%€545m/yrAONFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- Fund 6,000 new Garda recruits€540m/yrFGJustice And Policingspend annualstated
- Programme for Government — Garda recruitment expansion€540m/yrPfGJustice And Policingspend annualestimated-from-unit
- Reduce childcare to €200/month€500m/yrFFChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Cap childcare at €200/month per child€500m/yrFGChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- €10-a-day childcare€500m/yrSFChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Index social welfare to inflation€500m/yrGPSocial Protectiontransferstated
- Climate just-transition fund€500m/yrLABClimate And Environmentspend annualstated
- Protect wages and welfare from inflation€500m/yrLABSocial Protectiontransferstated
- Super-wealth tax−€500m/yrSDFinance And Taxationrevenue raisestated
- Programme for Government — reduce childcare to €200/month€500m/yrPfGChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- 30,000 public childcare places€450m/yrLABChildren And Youthspend annualstated
- Restore retirement at 65€440m/yrSFSocial Protectiontransferstated
- 5,000 new hospital beds by 2031€420m/yrSFHealthspend annualstated
- Abolish third-level student fees€420m/yrSFHigher Educationspend annualstated
- Double the Rent Tax Credit (€750 → €1,500)€400m/yrFFHousingrevenue cutestimated-from-unit
- Raise USC thresholds and reduce USC burden€400m/yrFGFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- Free GP care + abolish charges€400m/yrPBPHealthspend annualstated
- Zero VAT on electricity€350m/yrAONEnergyrevenue cutestimated-from-unit
- Accelerate EV transition supports€300m/yrFFTransportspend annualstated
- Halt scheduled annual carbon tax increases€250m/yrSFFinance And Taxationrevenue cutstated
- Retrofit a further 50,000 homes€250m/yrLABEnergyspend annualstated
- 3,500 additional nurses and midwives€230m/yrAONHealthspend annualstated
- Retain and extend Help to Buy€220m/yrFGHousingrevenue cutstated
- Make electric vehicles more affordable€200m/yrFGTransportspend annualestimated-from-unit
- Revolutionise mental health services for under-25s€200m/yrSFMental Healthspend annualstated
- Free retrofits for low-income households€200m/yrGPEnergyspend annualstated
- Second tier of Child Benefit€200m/yrAONSocial Protectiontransferestimated-from-unit
- Increase parental leave€180m/yrGPChildren And Youthtransferstated
- Further expand An Garda Síochána€135m/yrFFJustice And Policingspend annualestimated-from-unit
- 400 extra hospital consultants€104m/yrAONHealthspend annualstated
- Cut public-transport fares€100m/yrGPTransportspend annualstated
- Bring vacant and derelict homes back into use€100m/yrGPHousingspend annualstated
- Guarantee every child a school place€100m/yrLABEducationspend annualstated
- Salaried GP scheme€100m/yrSDHealthspend annualstated
- End State subsidies to private schools−€100m/yrPBPEducationrevenue raisestated
- Abolish prescription charges€90m/yrFGHealthrevenue cutstated
- Double homeless prevention spend€75m/yrSDHousingspend annualstated
- Free GP care for all children under 12€60m/yrFFHealthspend annualstated
- Free public transport for under-18s€60m/yrSDTransportrevenue cutstated
- Expand vacant and derelict property grants€50m/yrFFHousingspend annualstated
- Expand therapy college places€50m/yrFGHigher Educationspend annualstated
- Abolish apprenticeship fees€50m/yrLABHigher Educationspend annualstated
- Operation Shamrock — bring emigrants home€50m/yrAONRural And Communityspend annualstated
- Establish an Asylum and Integration Agency€40m/yrGPMigrationspend annualstated
- Plant trees on 8,000 ha per year€40m/yrGPAgriculture And Marinespend annualstated
- Establish an Irish border agency€30m/yrAONMigrationspend annualstated
- 125,000 public homes by 2029—SFHousingspend cumulativestated
- Three-year rent freeze—LABHousingunit targetunstated
- Three-year rent freeze—SDHousingunit targetunstated
- Real rent controls + eviction ban—PBPHousingunit targetunstated
- 8,000 vacant home grants—AONHousingspend cumulativestated
Baseline: 2025 gross voted expenditure €105.40bn, tax revenue €105.70bn. Method version claims-1.0.0 · as of 2026-05-23. See the accountability methodology for how the broader ledger works; this fiscal-claim layer is a sibling.